Youdao Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.43
| DAO Stock | USD 7.43 0.22 3.05% |
Closest to current price Youdao long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Youdao |
Youdao Target Price Odds to finish over 7.43
The tendency of Youdao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.43 | 90 days | 7.43 | about 1.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Youdao to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.14 (This Youdao Inc probability density function shows the probability of Youdao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Youdao Inc has a beta of -0.47 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Youdao are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Youdao Inc is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Youdao Inc has an alpha of 1.4954, implying that it can generate a 1.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Youdao Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Youdao
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Youdao Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Youdao Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Youdao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Youdao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Youdao Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Youdao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Youdao Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Youdao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Youdao Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Youdao Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Youdao Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Youdao Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Youdao Inc has 1.6 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.71, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Youdao Inc has a current ratio of 0.63, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Youdao to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 5.39 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (550.12 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.59 B. | |
| Youdao Inc has about 783.61 M in cash with (438.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.73. | |
| Youdao Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Youdao 2024 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders |
Youdao Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Youdao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Youdao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Youdao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 526.7 M |
Youdao Technical Analysis
Youdao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Youdao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Youdao Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Youdao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Youdao Predictive Forecast Models
Youdao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Youdao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Youdao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Youdao Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Youdao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Youdao Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Youdao Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Youdao Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Youdao Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Youdao Inc has 1.6 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.71, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Youdao Inc has a current ratio of 0.63, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Youdao to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 5.39 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (550.12 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.59 B. | |
| Youdao Inc has about 783.61 M in cash with (438.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.73. | |
| Youdao Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Youdao 2024 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders |
Check out Youdao Backtesting, Youdao Valuation, Youdao Correlation, Youdao Hype Analysis, Youdao Volatility, Youdao History as well as Youdao Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Youdao. If investors know Youdao will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Youdao listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.683 | Earnings Share 0.06 | Revenue Per Share 48.125 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.095 | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Youdao Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Youdao that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Youdao's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Youdao's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Youdao's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Youdao's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Youdao's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Youdao is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Youdao's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.