Cytokinetics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 50.4
| CYTK Stock | USD 48.87 2.13 4.56% |
Cytokinetics |
Cytokinetics Target Price Odds to finish below 50.4
The tendency of Cytokinetics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 50.40 after 90 days |
| 48.87 | 90 days | 50.40 | about 21.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cytokinetics to stay under $ 50.40 after 90 days from now is about 21.63 (This Cytokinetics probability density function shows the probability of Cytokinetics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cytokinetics price to stay between its current price of $ 48.87 and $ 50.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.16 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cytokinetics will likely underperform. Additionally Cytokinetics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cytokinetics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cytokinetics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cytokinetics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cytokinetics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cytokinetics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cytokinetics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cytokinetics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cytokinetics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cytokinetics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Cytokinetics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cytokinetics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cytokinetics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cytokinetics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cytokinetics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (526.24 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (146.22 M). | |
| Cytokinetics currently holds about 586.03 M in cash with (414.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.22. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cytokinetics Stock Rises on New Licensing Deal |
Cytokinetics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cytokinetics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cytokinetics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cytokinetics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 614.8 M |
Cytokinetics Technical Analysis
Cytokinetics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cytokinetics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cytokinetics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cytokinetics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cytokinetics Predictive Forecast Models
Cytokinetics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cytokinetics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cytokinetics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cytokinetics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cytokinetics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cytokinetics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cytokinetics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cytokinetics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (526.24 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (146.22 M). | |
| Cytokinetics currently holds about 586.03 M in cash with (414.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.22. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cytokinetics Stock Rises on New Licensing Deal |
Check out Cytokinetics Backtesting, Cytokinetics Valuation, Cytokinetics Correlation, Cytokinetics Hype Analysis, Cytokinetics Volatility, Cytokinetics History as well as Cytokinetics Performance. For more information on how to buy Cytokinetics Stock please use our How to buy in Cytokinetics Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cytokinetics. If investors know Cytokinetics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cytokinetics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.38) | Revenue Per Share 0.03 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.225 | Return On Assets (0.30) | Return On Equity (5.72) |
The market value of Cytokinetics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cytokinetics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cytokinetics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cytokinetics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cytokinetics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cytokinetics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cytokinetics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cytokinetics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cytokinetics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.