CSX (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.55
| CXR Stock | EUR 31.95 0.15 0.47% |
CSX |
CSX Target Price Odds to finish over 33.55
The tendency of CSX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 33.55 or more in 90 days |
| 31.95 | 90 days | 33.55 | about 13.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CSX to move over € 33.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.29 (This CSX Corporation probability density function shows the probability of CSX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CSX Corporation price to stay between its current price of € 31.95 and € 33.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CSX has a beta of 0.82 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CSX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CSX Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CSX Corporation has an alpha of 0.0356, implying that it can generate a 0.0356 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CSX Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CSX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSX Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CSX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CSX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CSX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CSX Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CSX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
CSX Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CSX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CSX Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CSX Corporation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
CSX Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CSX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CSX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
CSX Technical Analysis
CSX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CSX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CSX Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing CSX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CSX Predictive Forecast Models
CSX's time-series forecasting models is one of many CSX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CSX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CSX Corporation
Checking the ongoing alerts about CSX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CSX Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CSX Corporation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CSX Stock
When determining whether CSX Corporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CSX's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Csx Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Csx Corporation Stock:Check out CSX Backtesting, CSX Valuation, CSX Correlation, CSX Hype Analysis, CSX Volatility, CSX History as well as CSX Performance. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..