Consolidated Water Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.88
| CWCO Stock | USD 24.97 0.28 1.11% |
Consolidated |
Consolidated Water Target Price Odds to finish below 20.88
The tendency of Consolidated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.88 or more in 90 days |
| 24.97 | 90 days | 20.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Consolidated Water to drop to $ 20.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Consolidated Water Co probability density function shows the probability of Consolidated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Consolidated Water price to stay between $ 20.88 and its current price of $24.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Consolidated Water will likely underperform. Additionally Consolidated Water Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Consolidated Water Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Consolidated Water
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consolidated Water. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Consolidated Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Consolidated Water Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Consolidated Water is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Consolidated Water's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Consolidated Water Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Consolidated Water within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Consolidated Water Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Consolidated Water for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Consolidated Water can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Consolidated Water generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Consolidated Water paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Butler Brian E. of 1776 shares of Consolidated Water at 29.14 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Consolidated Water Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Consolidated Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Consolidated Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Consolidated Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.6 M |
Consolidated Water Technical Analysis
Consolidated Water's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Consolidated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Consolidated Water Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Consolidated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Consolidated Water Predictive Forecast Models
Consolidated Water's time-series forecasting models is one of many Consolidated Water's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Consolidated Water's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Consolidated Water
Checking the ongoing alerts about Consolidated Water for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Consolidated Water help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Consolidated Water generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Consolidated Water paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Butler Brian E. of 1776 shares of Consolidated Water at 29.14 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Consolidated Water Backtesting, Consolidated Water Valuation, Consolidated Water Correlation, Consolidated Water Hype Analysis, Consolidated Water Volatility, Consolidated Water History as well as Consolidated Water Performance. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Consolidated Water. If investors know Consolidated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Consolidated Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.158 | Earnings Share 1.66 | Revenue Per Share 11.101 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets 0.1033 |
The market value of Consolidated Water is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Consolidated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Consolidated Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Consolidated Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Consolidated Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Consolidated Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Consolidated Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Consolidated Water is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Consolidated Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.