Curtiss Wright Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 176.20
| CW Stock | USD 361.27 5.79 1.63% |
Curtiss |
Curtiss Wright Target Price Odds to finish over 176.20
The tendency of Curtiss Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 176.20 in 90 days |
| 361.27 | 90 days | 176.20 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Curtiss Wright to stay above $ 176.20 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Curtiss Wright probability density function shows the probability of Curtiss Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Curtiss Wright price to stay between $ 176.20 and its current price of $361.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.72 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.52 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Curtiss Wright will likely underperform. Additionally Curtiss Wright has an alpha of 0.086, implying that it can generate a 0.086 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Curtiss Wright Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Curtiss Wright
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Curtiss Wright. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Curtiss Wright's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Curtiss Wright Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Curtiss Wright is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Curtiss Wright's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Curtiss Wright, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Curtiss Wright within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Curtiss Wright Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Curtiss Wright for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Curtiss Wright can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Curtiss Wright has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Curtiss Wright Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Curtiss Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Curtiss Wright's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Curtiss Wright's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 406.9 M |
Curtiss Wright Technical Analysis
Curtiss Wright's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Curtiss Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Curtiss Wright. In general, you should focus on analyzing Curtiss Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Curtiss Wright Predictive Forecast Models
Curtiss Wright's time-series forecasting models is one of many Curtiss Wright's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Curtiss Wright's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Curtiss Wright
Checking the ongoing alerts about Curtiss Wright for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Curtiss Wright help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Curtiss Wright has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Additional Tools for Curtiss Stock Analysis
When running Curtiss Wright's price analysis, check to measure Curtiss Wright's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Curtiss Wright is operating at the current time. Most of Curtiss Wright's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Curtiss Wright's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Curtiss Wright's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Curtiss Wright to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.