Calamos Market Neutral Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.79

CVSIX Fund  USD 15.27  0.01  0.07%   
Calamos Market's future price is the expected price of Calamos Market instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calamos Market Neutral performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calamos Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calamos Market Correlation, Calamos Market Hype Analysis, Calamos Market Volatility, Calamos Market History as well as Calamos Market Performance.
  
Please specify Calamos Market's target price for which you would like Calamos Market odds to be computed.

Calamos Market Target Price Odds to finish below 14.79

The tendency of Calamos Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 14.79  or more in 90 days
 15.27 90 days 14.79 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos Market to drop to $ 14.79  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Calamos Market Neutral probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calamos Market Neutral price to stay between $ 14.79  and its current price of $15.27 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Calamos Market has a beta of 0.0777 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calamos Market average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calamos Market Neutral will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calamos Market Neutral has an alpha of 0.0143, implying that it can generate a 0.0143 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Calamos Market Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calamos Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Market Neutral. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.1815.2715.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9314.0216.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2015.2915.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1215.2015.29
Details

Calamos Market Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos Market Neutral, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -1.01

Calamos Market Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calamos Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calamos Market Neutral can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 17.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Calamos Market Technical Analysis

Calamos Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos Market Neutral. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calamos Market Predictive Forecast Models

Calamos Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos Market's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calamos Market Neutral

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calamos Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calamos Market Neutral help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 17.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Calamos Mutual Fund

Calamos Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calamos Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calamos with respect to the benefits of owning Calamos Market security.
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