Columbia Disciplined Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.59
| CVQZX Fund | USD 8.92 1.07 10.71% |
Columbia |
Columbia Disciplined Target Price Odds to finish over 11.59
The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.59 or more in 90 days |
| 8.92 | 90 days | 11.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Disciplined to move over $ 11.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Columbia Disciplined Value probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Disciplined price to stay between its current price of $ 8.92 and $ 11.59 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.1 suggesting Columbia Disciplined Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Columbia Disciplined is expected to follow. Additionally Columbia Disciplined Value has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Columbia Disciplined Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Columbia Disciplined
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Disciplined. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Columbia Disciplined Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Disciplined is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Disciplined's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Disciplined Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Disciplined within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Columbia Disciplined Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Disciplined for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Disciplined can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Columbia Disciplined generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 99.11% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Columbia Disciplined Technical Analysis
Columbia Disciplined's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Disciplined Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Columbia Disciplined Predictive Forecast Models
Columbia Disciplined's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Disciplined's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Disciplined's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Columbia Disciplined
Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Disciplined for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Disciplined help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Columbia Disciplined generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 99.11% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund
Columbia Disciplined financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Disciplined security.
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