Kunlun Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.86
| CTJ1 Stock | EUR 0.97 0.02 2.11% |
Kunlun |
Kunlun Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.86
The tendency of Kunlun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.86 or more in 90 days |
| 0.97 | 90 days | 0.86 | about 12.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kunlun Energy to drop to € 0.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.91 (This Kunlun Energy probability density function shows the probability of Kunlun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kunlun Energy price to stay between € 0.86 and its current price of €0.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kunlun Energy has a beta of -0.37 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kunlun Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kunlun Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kunlun Energy has an alpha of 0.3034, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kunlun Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kunlun Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kunlun Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kunlun Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kunlun Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kunlun Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kunlun Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kunlun Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Kunlun Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kunlun Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kunlun Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kunlun Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kunlun Energy has accumulated 18.61 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 55.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kunlun Energy has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kunlun Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kunlun Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kunlun Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kunlun to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kunlun Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of Kunlun Energy shares are held by company insiders |
Kunlun Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kunlun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kunlun Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kunlun Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.7 B |
Kunlun Energy Technical Analysis
Kunlun Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kunlun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kunlun Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kunlun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kunlun Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Kunlun Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kunlun Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kunlun Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kunlun Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kunlun Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kunlun Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kunlun Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kunlun Energy has accumulated 18.61 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 55.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kunlun Energy has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kunlun Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kunlun Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kunlun Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kunlun to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kunlun Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of Kunlun Energy shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kunlun Stock
Kunlun Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kunlun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kunlun with respect to the benefits of owning Kunlun Energy security.