Caspian Services Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.002988
| CSSV Stock | USD 0 0.00 0.00% |
Caspian |
Caspian Services Target Price Odds to finish over 0.002988
The tendency of Caspian Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0 in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0 | about 62.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caspian Services to stay above $ 0 in 90 days from now is about 62.34 (This Caspian Services probability density function shows the probability of Caspian Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Caspian Services price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.004 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Caspian Services has a beta of -0.8 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Caspian Services are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Caspian Services is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Caspian Services has an alpha of 1.3787, implying that it can generate a 1.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Caspian Services Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caspian Services
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caspian Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caspian Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caspian Services Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caspian Services is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caspian Services' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caspian Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caspian Services within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0009 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Caspian Services Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caspian Services for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caspian Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caspian Services is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Caspian Services has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Caspian Services appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Caspian Services has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Caspian Services currently holds 87.69 M in liabilities. Caspian Services has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Caspian Services until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Caspian Services' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Caspian Services sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Caspian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Caspian Services' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 16.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.91 M. | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Caspian Services Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caspian Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caspian Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caspian Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.7 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 82 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |
Caspian Services Technical Analysis
Caspian Services' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caspian Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caspian Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caspian Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Caspian Services Predictive Forecast Models
Caspian Services' time-series forecasting models is one of many Caspian Services' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caspian Services' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Caspian Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caspian Services for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caspian Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Caspian Services is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Caspian Services has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Caspian Services appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Caspian Services has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Caspian Services currently holds 87.69 M in liabilities. Caspian Services has a current ratio of 0.09, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Caspian Services until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Caspian Services' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Caspian Services sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Caspian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Caspian Services' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 16.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.91 M. | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Caspian Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Caspian Services' price analysis, check to measure Caspian Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caspian Services is operating at the current time. Most of Caspian Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caspian Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caspian Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caspian Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.