Corsair Gaming Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.33

CRSR Stock  USD 7.31  0.33  4.32%   
Corsair Gaming's future price is the expected price of Corsair Gaming instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Corsair Gaming performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Corsair Gaming Backtesting, Corsair Gaming Valuation, Corsair Gaming Correlation, Corsair Gaming Hype Analysis, Corsair Gaming Volatility, Corsair Gaming History as well as Corsair Gaming Performance.
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Corsair Gaming Target Price Odds to finish below 4.33

The tendency of Corsair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.33  or more in 90 days
 7.31 90 days 4.33 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Corsair Gaming to drop to $ 4.33  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Corsair Gaming probability density function shows the probability of Corsair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Corsair Gaming price to stay between $ 4.33  and its current price of $7.31 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.12 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Corsair Gaming will likely underperform. Additionally Corsair Gaming has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Corsair Gaming Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Corsair Gaming

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corsair Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Corsair Gaming's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.147.3310.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.9510.1413.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.087.2710.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.347.007.66
Details

Corsair Gaming Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Corsair Gaming is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Corsair Gaming's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Corsair Gaming, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Corsair Gaming within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.0001

Corsair Gaming Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Corsair Gaming for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Corsair Gaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Corsair Gaming had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Corsair Gaming Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Corsair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Corsair Gaming's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Corsair Gaming's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding106.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments175.6 M

Corsair Gaming Technical Analysis

Corsair Gaming's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Corsair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Corsair Gaming. In general, you should focus on analyzing Corsair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Corsair Gaming Predictive Forecast Models

Corsair Gaming's time-series forecasting models is one of many Corsair Gaming's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Corsair Gaming's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Corsair Gaming

Checking the ongoing alerts about Corsair Gaming for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Corsair Gaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Corsair Gaming had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for Corsair Stock Analysis

When running Corsair Gaming's price analysis, check to measure Corsair Gaming's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Corsair Gaming is operating at the current time. Most of Corsair Gaming's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Corsair Gaming's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Corsair Gaming's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Corsair Gaming to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.