Card Factory Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.1682
| CRFCF Stock | USD 1.18 0.00 0.00% |
Card |
Card Factory Target Price Odds to finish over 1.1682
The tendency of Card Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.17 in 90 days |
| 1.18 | 90 days | 1.17 | about 92.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Card Factory to stay above $ 1.17 in 90 days from now is about 92.1 (This Card Factory plc probability density function shows the probability of Card Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Card Factory plc price to stay between $ 1.17 and its current price of $1.18 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Card Factory has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Card Factory average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Card Factory plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Card Factory plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Card Factory Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Card Factory
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Card Factory plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Card Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Card Factory Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Card Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Card Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Card Factory plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Card Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Card Factory Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Card Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Card Factory plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Card Factory plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Card Factory plc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Card Factory plc has accumulated 85.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.9, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Card Factory plc has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Card Factory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Card Factory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Card Factory plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Card to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Card Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 68.0% of Card Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Card Factory Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Card Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Card Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Card Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 341.6 M |
Card Factory Technical Analysis
Card Factory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Card Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Card Factory plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Card Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Card Factory Predictive Forecast Models
Card Factory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Card Factory's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Card Factory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Card Factory plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Card Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Card Factory plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Card Factory plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Card Factory plc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Card Factory plc has accumulated 85.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.9, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Card Factory plc has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Card Factory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Card Factory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Card Factory plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Card to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Card Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 68.0% of Card Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Card Pink Sheet
Card Factory financial ratios help investors to determine whether Card Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Card with respect to the benefits of owning Card Factory security.