Cepton Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.25
| CPTN Stock | USD 3.20 0.01 0.31% |
Cepton |
Cepton Target Price Odds to finish below 12.25
The tendency of Cepton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 12.25 after 90 days |
| 3.20 | 90 days | 12.25 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cepton to stay under $ 12.25 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cepton Inc probability density function shows the probability of Cepton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cepton Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 3.20 and $ 12.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cepton Inc has a beta of -0.0239 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cepton are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cepton Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cepton Inc has an alpha of 0.0695, implying that it can generate a 0.0695 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cepton Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cepton
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cepton Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cepton's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cepton Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cepton is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cepton's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cepton Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cepton within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Cepton Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cepton for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cepton Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cepton Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 194 K. | |
| Cepton Inc currently holds about 31.04 M in cash with (35.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Cepton Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2343 shares by Jun Pei of Cepton at 3.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Cepton Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cepton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cepton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cepton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.4 M |
Cepton Technical Analysis
Cepton's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cepton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cepton Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cepton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cepton Predictive Forecast Models
Cepton's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cepton's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cepton's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cepton Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cepton for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cepton Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cepton Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 194 K. | |
| Cepton Inc currently holds about 31.04 M in cash with (35.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Cepton Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2343 shares by Jun Pei of Cepton at 3.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Cepton Backtesting, Cepton Valuation, Cepton Correlation, Cepton Hype Analysis, Cepton Volatility, Cepton History as well as Cepton Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cepton. If investors know Cepton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cepton listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.63) | Revenue Per Share 1.121 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.86) | Return On Assets (0.27) | Return On Equity (0.45) |
The market value of Cepton Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cepton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cepton's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cepton's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cepton's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cepton's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cepton's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cepton is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cepton's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.