Comanche International (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.7

COMAN Stock   0.70  0.06  7.89%   
Comanche International's future price is the expected price of Comanche International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Comanche International Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Comanche International Backtesting, Comanche International Valuation, Comanche International Correlation, Comanche International Hype Analysis, Comanche International Volatility, Comanche International History as well as Comanche International Performance.
  
Please specify Comanche International's target price for which you would like Comanche International odds to be computed.

Comanche International Target Price Odds to finish over 0.7

The tendency of Comanche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.70 90 days 0.70 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comanche International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Comanche International Public probability density function shows the probability of Comanche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Comanche International Public has a beta of -1.14 suggesting Additionally Comanche International Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Comanche International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Comanche International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comanche International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.7010.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.6710.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.8211.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.640.740.84
Details

Comanche International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comanche International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comanche International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comanche International Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comanche International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Comanche International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comanche International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comanche International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comanche International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Comanche International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Comanche International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Comanche International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 107.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.52 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Comanche International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comanche Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comanche International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comanche International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding134 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.09

Comanche International Technical Analysis

Comanche International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Comanche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Comanche International Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Comanche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Comanche International Predictive Forecast Models

Comanche International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Comanche International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Comanche International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Comanche International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Comanche International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Comanche International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comanche International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Comanche International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Comanche International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Comanche International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 107.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.43 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.52 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Comanche Stock

Comanche International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Comanche Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Comanche with respect to the benefits of owning Comanche International security.