Etablissementen Franz (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.05
| COLR Stock | EUR 42.20 0.12 0.28% |
Etablissementen |
Etablissementen Franz Target Price Odds to finish below 39.05
The tendency of Etablissementen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 39.05 or more in 90 days |
| 42.20 | 90 days | 39.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Etablissementen Franz to drop to € 39.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Etablissementen Franz Colruyt probability density function shows the probability of Etablissementen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Etablissementen Franz price to stay between € 39.05 and its current price of €42.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Etablissementen Franz has a beta of 0.0064 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Etablissementen Franz average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Etablissementen Franz Colruyt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Etablissementen Franz Colruyt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Etablissementen Franz Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Etablissementen Franz
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Etablissementen Franz. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Etablissementen Franz Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Etablissementen Franz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Etablissementen Franz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Etablissementen Franz Colruyt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Etablissementen Franz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Etablissementen Franz Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Etablissementen Franz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Etablissementen Franz can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Etablissementen Franz generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Etablissementen Franz Colruyt has accumulated 415.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Etablissementen Franz has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Etablissementen Franz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Etablissementen Franz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Etablissementen Franz sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Etablissementen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Etablissementen Franz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Etablissementen Franz shares are held by company insiders |
Etablissementen Franz Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Etablissementen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Etablissementen Franz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Etablissementen Franz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 304.2 M |
Etablissementen Franz Technical Analysis
Etablissementen Franz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Etablissementen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Etablissementen Franz Colruyt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Etablissementen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Etablissementen Franz Predictive Forecast Models
Etablissementen Franz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Etablissementen Franz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Etablissementen Franz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Etablissementen Franz
Checking the ongoing alerts about Etablissementen Franz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Etablissementen Franz help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Etablissementen Franz generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Etablissementen Franz Colruyt has accumulated 415.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Etablissementen Franz has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Etablissementen Franz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Etablissementen Franz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Etablissementen Franz sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Etablissementen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Etablissementen Franz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 60.0% of Etablissementen Franz shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Etablissementen Stock Analysis
When running Etablissementen Franz's price analysis, check to measure Etablissementen Franz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Etablissementen Franz is operating at the current time. Most of Etablissementen Franz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Etablissementen Franz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Etablissementen Franz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Etablissementen Franz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.