Copart (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.50

CO6 Stock  EUR 56.05  0.54  0.95%   
Copart's future price is the expected price of Copart instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Copart Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Copart Backtesting, Copart Valuation, Copart Correlation, Copart Hype Analysis, Copart Volatility, Copart History as well as Copart Performance.
  
Please specify Copart's target price for which you would like Copart odds to be computed.

Copart Target Price Odds to finish below 38.50

The tendency of Copart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 38.50  or more in 90 days
 56.05 90 days 38.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Copart to drop to € 38.50  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Copart Inc probability density function shows the probability of Copart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Copart Inc price to stay between € 38.50  and its current price of €56.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Copart has a beta of 0.85 suggesting Copart Inc market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Copart is expected to follow. Additionally Copart Inc has an alpha of 0.2912, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Copart Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Copart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Copart Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.7356.0558.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.4564.6366.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.4855.7958.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.8058.0560.30
Details

Copart Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Copart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Copart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Copart Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Copart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
4.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Copart Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Copart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Copart Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Copart Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Copart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Copart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Copart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding237.6 M

Copart Technical Analysis

Copart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Copart Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Copart Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Copart Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Copart Predictive Forecast Models

Copart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Copart's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Copart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Copart Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Copart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Copart Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Copart Stock

When determining whether Copart Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Copart Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Copart Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Copart Inc Stock:
Check out Copart Backtesting, Copart Valuation, Copart Correlation, Copart Hype Analysis, Copart Volatility, Copart History as well as Copart Performance.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Copart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Copart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Copart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.