Casino Guichard (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 137.12

CO Stock  EUR 1.10  0.01  0.90%   
Casino Guichard's future price is the expected price of Casino Guichard instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Casino Guichard Perrachon performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Casino Guichard Backtesting, Casino Guichard Valuation, Casino Guichard Correlation, Casino Guichard Hype Analysis, Casino Guichard Volatility, Casino Guichard History as well as Casino Guichard Performance.
  
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Casino Guichard Target Price Odds to finish over 137.12

The tendency of Casino Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 137.12  or more in 90 days
 1.10 90 days 137.12 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Casino Guichard to move over € 137.12  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Casino Guichard Perrachon probability density function shows the probability of Casino Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Casino Guichard Perrachon price to stay between its current price of € 1.10  and € 137.12  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Casino Guichard has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Casino Guichard average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Casino Guichard Perrachon will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Casino Guichard Perrachon has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Casino Guichard Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Casino Guichard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Casino Guichard Perrachon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.117.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.077.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.327.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.991.251.51
Details

Casino Guichard Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Casino Guichard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Casino Guichard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Casino Guichard Perrachon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Casino Guichard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Casino Guichard Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Casino Guichard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Casino Guichard Perrachon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Casino Guichard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Casino Guichard has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Casino Guichard may become a speculative penny stock
Casino Guichard has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Casino Guichard Perrachon has accumulated 7.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 132.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Casino Guichard Perrachon has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Casino Guichard until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Casino Guichard's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Casino Guichard Perrachon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Casino to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Casino Guichard's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 31.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (530 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.62 B.
About 44.0% of Casino Guichard shares are held by company insiders

Casino Guichard Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Casino Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Casino Guichard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Casino Guichard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.4 B

Casino Guichard Technical Analysis

Casino Guichard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Casino Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Casino Guichard Perrachon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Casino Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Casino Guichard Predictive Forecast Models

Casino Guichard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Casino Guichard's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Casino Guichard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Casino Guichard Perrachon

Checking the ongoing alerts about Casino Guichard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Casino Guichard Perrachon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Casino Guichard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Casino Guichard has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Casino Guichard may become a speculative penny stock
Casino Guichard has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Casino Guichard Perrachon has accumulated 7.45 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 132.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Casino Guichard Perrachon has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Casino Guichard until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Casino Guichard's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Casino Guichard Perrachon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Casino to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Casino Guichard's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 31.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (530 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.62 B.
About 44.0% of Casino Guichard shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Casino Stock

Casino Guichard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Casino Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Casino with respect to the benefits of owning Casino Guichard security.