Riv Capital Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.085
| CNPOF Stock | USD 0.10 0.01 9.09% |
RIV |
RIV Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.085
The tendency of RIV Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.09 or more in 90 days |
| 0.10 | 90 days | 0.09 | nearly 4.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RIV Capital to drop to $ 0.09 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.57 (This RIV Capital probability density function shows the probability of RIV Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RIV Capital price to stay between $ 0.09 and its current price of $0.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.46 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon RIV Capital has a beta of -0.37 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RIV Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RIV Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RIV Capital has an alpha of 0.0656, implying that it can generate a 0.0656 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). RIV Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RIV Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RIV Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RIV Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RIV Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RIV Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RIV Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RIV Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
RIV Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RIV Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RIV Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RIV Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| RIV Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| RIV Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| RIV Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.9 M. | |
| RIV Capital has accumulated about 171.54 M in cash with (28.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
RIV Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RIV Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RIV Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RIV Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.6 M |
RIV Capital Technical Analysis
RIV Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RIV Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RIV Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing RIV Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RIV Capital Predictive Forecast Models
RIV Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many RIV Capital's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RIV Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RIV Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about RIV Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RIV Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RIV Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| RIV Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| RIV Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| RIV Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.9 M. | |
| RIV Capital has accumulated about 171.54 M in cash with (28.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in RIV Pink Sheet
RIV Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether RIV Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RIV with respect to the benefits of owning RIV Capital security.