Exploitasi Energi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.65
| CNKO Stock | IDR 30.00 3.00 9.09% |
Exploitasi |
Exploitasi Energi Target Price Odds to finish below 8.65
The tendency of Exploitasi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.65 or more in 90 days |
| 30.00 | 90 days | 8.65 | roughly 2.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exploitasi Energi to drop to 8.65 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.61 (This Exploitasi Energi Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Exploitasi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exploitasi Energi price to stay between 8.65 and its current price of 30.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Exploitasi Energi Indonesia has a beta of -0.52 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Exploitasi Energi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Exploitasi Energi Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Exploitasi Energi Indonesia has an alpha of 2.7769, implying that it can generate a 2.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Exploitasi Energi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exploitasi Energi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exploitasi Energi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Exploitasi Energi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exploitasi Energi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exploitasi Energi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exploitasi Energi Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exploitasi Energi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.38 |
Exploitasi Energi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exploitasi Energi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exploitasi Energi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exploitasi Energi is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Exploitasi Energi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 980.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (73.31 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 137.12 B. | |
| Exploitasi Energi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Exploitasi Energi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exploitasi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exploitasi Energi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exploitasi Energi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.8 B |
Exploitasi Energi Technical Analysis
Exploitasi Energi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exploitasi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exploitasi Energi Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exploitasi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exploitasi Energi Predictive Forecast Models
Exploitasi Energi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exploitasi Energi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exploitasi Energi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exploitasi Energi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exploitasi Energi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exploitasi Energi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Exploitasi Energi is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Exploitasi Energi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 980.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (73.31 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 137.12 B. | |
| Exploitasi Energi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Exploitasi Stock
Exploitasi Energi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exploitasi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exploitasi with respect to the benefits of owning Exploitasi Energi security.