Canacol Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.95
| CNE Stock | CAD 4.06 0.03 0.74% |
Canacol |
Canacol Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 7.95
The tendency of Canacol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 7.95 or more in 90 days |
| 4.06 | 90 days | 7.95 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Canacol Energy to move over C$ 7.95 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Canacol Energy probability density function shows the probability of Canacol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Canacol Energy price to stay between its current price of C$ 4.06 and C$ 7.95 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Canacol Energy has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Canacol Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Canacol Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Canacol Energy has an alpha of 0.3227, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Canacol Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Canacol Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canacol Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Canacol Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Canacol Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Canacol Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Canacol Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Canacol Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Canacol Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Canacol Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Canacol Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Canacol Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Canacol Energy Ltds largest shareholders are retail investors with 50 percent ownership, institutions own 29 percent - Yahoo Finance |
Canacol Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Canacol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Canacol Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canacol Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.4 M |
Canacol Energy Technical Analysis
Canacol Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Canacol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Canacol Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Canacol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Canacol Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Canacol Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Canacol Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Canacol Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Canacol Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Canacol Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Canacol Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Canacol Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Canacol Energy Ltds largest shareholders are retail investors with 50 percent ownership, institutions own 29 percent - Yahoo Finance |
Other Information on Investing in Canacol Stock
Canacol Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canacol Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canacol with respect to the benefits of owning Canacol Energy security.