Compass Pathways Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.45
| CMPS Stock | USD 4.45 0.30 7.23% |
Closest to current price Compass long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Compass |
Compass Pathways Target Price Odds to finish over 4.45
The tendency of Compass Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.45 | 90 days | 4.45 | about 75.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compass Pathways to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.48 (This Compass Pathways Plc probability density function shows the probability of Compass Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Compass Pathways Plc has a beta of -0.27 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Compass Pathways are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Compass Pathways Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Compass Pathways Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Compass Pathways Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Compass Pathways
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compass Pathways Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Compass Pathways Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compass Pathways is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compass Pathways' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compass Pathways Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compass Pathways within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Compass Pathways Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compass Pathways for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compass Pathways Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Compass Pathways Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Compass Pathways Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (118.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Compass Pathways Plc currently holds about 207.18 M in cash with (97.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Compass Pathways Plc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Compass Pathways SWOT analysis psilocybin stock faces trials and trillion-dollar potential |
Compass Pathways Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compass Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compass Pathways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compass Pathways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 220.2 M |
Compass Pathways Technical Analysis
Compass Pathways' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compass Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compass Pathways Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compass Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Compass Pathways Predictive Forecast Models
Compass Pathways' time-series forecasting models is one of many Compass Pathways' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compass Pathways' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Compass Pathways Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Compass Pathways for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compass Pathways Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Compass Pathways Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Compass Pathways Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (118.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Compass Pathways Plc currently holds about 207.18 M in cash with (97.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.87, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Compass Pathways Plc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Compass Pathways SWOT analysis psilocybin stock faces trials and trillion-dollar potential |
Additional Tools for Compass Stock Analysis
When running Compass Pathways' price analysis, check to measure Compass Pathways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compass Pathways is operating at the current time. Most of Compass Pathways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compass Pathways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compass Pathways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compass Pathways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.