Capella Minerals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 207.53
| CMIL Stock | CAD 0.04 0.02 33.33% |
Capella |
Capella Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 207.53
The tendency of Capella Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 207.53 or more in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 207.53 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capella Minerals to move over C$ 207.53 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Capella Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Capella Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capella Minerals price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.04 and C$ 207.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capella Minerals has a beta of 0.34 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capella Minerals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capella Minerals will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Capella Minerals has an alpha of 7.937, implying that it can generate a 7.94 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Capella Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capella Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capella Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capella Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capella Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capella Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capella Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capella Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 7.94 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Capella Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capella Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capella Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capella Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Capella Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Capella Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Capella Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (71.07 K). | |
| Capella Minerals has accumulated about 1.1 M in cash with (743.14 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Capella Provides Update and Announces Share Consolidation and Financing - Marketscreener.com |
Capella Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capella Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capella Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capella Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 195.2 M |
Capella Minerals Technical Analysis
Capella Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capella Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capella Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capella Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capella Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Capella Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Capella Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capella Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capella Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capella Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capella Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Capella Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Capella Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Capella Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Capella Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (71.07 K). | |
| Capella Minerals has accumulated about 1.1 M in cash with (743.14 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Capella Provides Update and Announces Share Consolidation and Financing - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for Capella Stock Analysis
When running Capella Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Capella Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capella Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Capella Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capella Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capella Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capella Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.