Computer Modelling Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.72
| CMG Stock | CAD 10.53 0.02 0.19% |
Computer |
Computer Modelling Target Price Odds to finish below 4.72
The tendency of Computer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 4.72 or more in 90 days |
| 10.53 | 90 days | 4.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Computer Modelling to drop to C$ 4.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Computer Modelling Group probability density function shows the probability of Computer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Computer Modelling price to stay between C$ 4.72 and its current price of C$10.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Computer Modelling has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Computer Modelling average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Computer Modelling Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Computer Modelling Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Computer Modelling Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Computer Modelling
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Computer Modelling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Computer Modelling Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Computer Modelling is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Computer Modelling's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Computer Modelling Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Computer Modelling within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Computer Modelling Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Computer Modelling for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Computer Modelling can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Computer Modelling generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CMG to Participate in the 27th Annual Needham Growth Conference - Markets Insider |
Computer Modelling Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Computer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Computer Modelling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Computer Modelling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 63.1 M |
Computer Modelling Technical Analysis
Computer Modelling's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Computer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Computer Modelling Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Computer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Computer Modelling Predictive Forecast Models
Computer Modelling's time-series forecasting models is one of many Computer Modelling's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Computer Modelling's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Computer Modelling
Checking the ongoing alerts about Computer Modelling for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Computer Modelling help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Computer Modelling generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CMG to Participate in the 27th Annual Needham Growth Conference - Markets Insider |
Other Information on Investing in Computer Stock
Computer Modelling financial ratios help investors to determine whether Computer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Computer with respect to the benefits of owning Computer Modelling security.