Commander Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.025
| CMDRF Stock | USD 0.03 0.03 50.00% |
Commander |
Commander Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.025
The tendency of Commander Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commander Resources to move below current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Commander Resources probability density function shows the probability of Commander Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Commander Resources has a beta of 0.66 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Commander Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Commander Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Commander Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Commander Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Commander Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commander Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Commander Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commander Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commander Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commander Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commander Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Commander Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commander Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commander Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Commander Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Commander Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Commander Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (882.31 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Commander Resources has accumulated about 524.13 K in cash with (753.51 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Commander Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Commander Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Commander Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commander Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.5 M |
Commander Resources Technical Analysis
Commander Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Commander Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Commander Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Commander Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Commander Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Commander Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Commander Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Commander Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Commander Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Commander Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Commander Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Commander Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Commander Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Commander Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (882.31 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Commander Resources has accumulated about 524.13 K in cash with (753.51 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Commander Pink Sheet
Commander Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Commander Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Commander with respect to the benefits of owning Commander Resources security.