Columbia Moderate Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 41.28
| CMATX Fund | USD 41.34 0.18 0.44% |
Columbia |
Columbia Moderate Target Price Odds to finish below 41.28
The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 41.28 or more in 90 days |
| 41.34 | 90 days | 41.28 | over 95.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Moderate to drop to $ 41.28 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.53 (This Columbia Moderate Growth probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Moderate Growth price to stay between $ 41.28 and its current price of $41.34 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Moderate has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Columbia Moderate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia Moderate Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Columbia Moderate Growth has an alpha of 0.0187, implying that it can generate a 0.0187 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Columbia Moderate Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Columbia Moderate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Moderate Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Moderate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Columbia Moderate Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Moderate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Moderate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Moderate Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Moderate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Columbia Moderate Technical Analysis
Columbia Moderate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Moderate Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Columbia Moderate Predictive Forecast Models
Columbia Moderate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Moderate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Moderate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Columbia Moderate in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Columbia Moderate's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Columbia Moderate options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund
Columbia Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Moderate security.
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