Crawford Multi Asset Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.47

CMALX Fund  USD 26.55  0.14  0.53%   
Crawford Multi-asset's future price is the expected price of Crawford Multi-asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crawford Multi Asset Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crawford Multi-asset Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Crawford Multi-asset Correlation, Crawford Multi-asset Hype Analysis, Crawford Multi-asset Volatility, Crawford Multi-asset History as well as Crawford Multi-asset Performance.
  
Please specify Crawford Multi-asset's target price for which you would like Crawford Multi-asset odds to be computed.

Crawford Multi-asset Target Price Odds to finish over 26.47

The tendency of Crawford Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 26.47  in 90 days
 26.55 90 days 26.47 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crawford Multi-asset to stay above $ 26.47  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Crawford Multi Asset Income probability density function shows the probability of Crawford Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crawford Multi Asset price to stay between $ 26.47  and its current price of $26.55 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crawford Multi-asset has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crawford Multi-asset average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crawford Multi Asset Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crawford Multi Asset Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crawford Multi-asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crawford Multi-asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crawford Multi Asset. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.0926.5527.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.1926.6527.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.4926.9427.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.9926.8127.63
Details

Crawford Multi-asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crawford Multi-asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crawford Multi-asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crawford Multi Asset Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crawford Multi-asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Crawford Multi-asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crawford Multi-asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crawford Multi Asset can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crawford Multi Asset generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 6.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Crawford Multi-asset Technical Analysis

Crawford Multi-asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crawford Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crawford Multi Asset Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crawford Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crawford Multi-asset Predictive Forecast Models

Crawford Multi-asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crawford Multi-asset's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crawford Multi-asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crawford Multi Asset

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crawford Multi-asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crawford Multi Asset help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crawford Multi Asset generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 6.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Crawford Mutual Fund

Crawford Multi-asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crawford Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crawford with respect to the benefits of owning Crawford Multi-asset security.
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