TRIPCOM GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 65.62
| CLVB Stock | EUR 60.92 0.54 0.88% |
TRIPCOM |
TRIPCOM GROUP Target Price Odds to finish below 65.62
The tendency of TRIPCOM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 65.62 after 90 days |
| 60.92 | 90 days | 65.62 | about 89.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TRIPCOM GROUP to stay under € 65.62 after 90 days from now is about 89.32 (This TRIPCOM GROUP DL 00125 probability density function shows the probability of TRIPCOM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TRIPCOM GROUP DL price to stay between its current price of € 60.92 and € 65.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TRIPCOM GROUP DL 00125 has a beta of -1.23 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding TRIPCOM GROUP DL 00125 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, TRIPCOM GROUP is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally TRIPCOM GROUP DL 00125 has an alpha of 0.277, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TRIPCOM GROUP Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for TRIPCOM GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TRIPCOM GROUP DL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TRIPCOM GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TRIPCOM GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TRIPCOM GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TRIPCOM GROUP DL 00125, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TRIPCOM GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
TRIPCOM GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TRIPCOM GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TRIPCOM GROUP DL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TRIPCOM GROUP DL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
TRIPCOM GROUP Technical Analysis
TRIPCOM GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TRIPCOM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TRIPCOM GROUP DL 00125. In general, you should focus on analyzing TRIPCOM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TRIPCOM GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
TRIPCOM GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many TRIPCOM GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TRIPCOM GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TRIPCOM GROUP DL
Checking the ongoing alerts about TRIPCOM GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TRIPCOM GROUP DL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TRIPCOM GROUP DL had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TRIPCOM Stock
TRIPCOM GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRIPCOM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRIPCOM with respect to the benefits of owning TRIPCOM GROUP security.