Catalyst Exceed Defined Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.92

CLPAX Fund  USD 13.28  0.10  0.75%   
Catalyst Exceed's future price is the expected price of Catalyst Exceed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Catalyst Exceed Defined performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Catalyst Exceed Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Catalyst Exceed Correlation, Catalyst Exceed Hype Analysis, Catalyst Exceed Volatility, Catalyst Exceed History as well as Catalyst Exceed Performance.
  
Please specify Catalyst Exceed's target price for which you would like Catalyst Exceed odds to be computed.

Catalyst Exceed Target Price Odds to finish over 12.92

The tendency of Catalyst Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.92  in 90 days
 13.28 90 days 12.92 
about 33.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalyst Exceed to stay above $ 12.92  in 90 days from now is about 33.61 (This Catalyst Exceed Defined probability density function shows the probability of Catalyst Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalyst Exceed Defined price to stay between $ 12.92  and its current price of $13.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalyst Exceed has a beta of 0.57 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Catalyst Exceed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catalyst Exceed Defined will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catalyst Exceed Defined has an alpha of 0.0548, implying that it can generate a 0.0548 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Catalyst Exceed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Catalyst Exceed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalyst Exceed Defined. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5313.2814.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4413.1913.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7413.4814.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8013.1413.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Catalyst Exceed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Catalyst Exceed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Catalyst Exceed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Catalyst Exceed Defined.

Catalyst Exceed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalyst Exceed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalyst Exceed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalyst Exceed Defined, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalyst Exceed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.0054

Catalyst Exceed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalyst Exceed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalyst Exceed Defined can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 16.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Catalyst Exceed Technical Analysis

Catalyst Exceed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalyst Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalyst Exceed Defined. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalyst Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Catalyst Exceed Predictive Forecast Models

Catalyst Exceed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalyst Exceed's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalyst Exceed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Catalyst Exceed Defined

Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalyst Exceed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalyst Exceed Defined help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 16.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Catalyst Mutual Fund

Catalyst Exceed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst Exceed security.
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