Colgate Palmolive Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 93.18
| CL Stock | USD 93.89 0.95 1.02% |
Closest to current price Colgate long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Colgate |
Colgate Palmolive Target Price Odds to finish below 93.18
The tendency of Colgate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 93.18 or more in 90 days |
| 93.89 | 90 days | 93.18 | about 13.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colgate Palmolive to drop to $ 93.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.75 (This Colgate Palmolive probability density function shows the probability of Colgate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colgate Palmolive price to stay between $ 93.18 and its current price of $93.89 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Colgate Palmolive has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Colgate Palmolive are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Colgate Palmolive is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Colgate Palmolive has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Colgate Palmolive Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Colgate Palmolive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colgate Palmolive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colgate Palmolive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colgate Palmolive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colgate Palmolive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colgate Palmolive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colgate Palmolive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Colgate Palmolive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colgate Palmolive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colgate Palmolive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Colgate Palmolive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Colgate Palmolive paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Toothpaste maker Colgate testing new product ideas on digital twins |
Colgate Palmolive Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colgate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colgate Palmolive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colgate Palmolive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 829.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Colgate Palmolive Technical Analysis
Colgate Palmolive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colgate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colgate Palmolive. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colgate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colgate Palmolive Predictive Forecast Models
Colgate Palmolive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colgate Palmolive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colgate Palmolive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Colgate Palmolive
Checking the ongoing alerts about Colgate Palmolive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colgate Palmolive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Colgate Palmolive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Colgate Palmolive paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Toothpaste maker Colgate testing new product ideas on digital twins |
Check out Colgate Palmolive Backtesting, Colgate Palmolive Valuation, Colgate Palmolive Correlation, Colgate Palmolive Hype Analysis, Colgate Palmolive Volatility, Colgate Palmolive History as well as Colgate Palmolive Performance. For more information on how to buy Colgate Stock please use our How to buy in Colgate Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colgate Palmolive. If investors know Colgate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Colgate Palmolive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.049 | Dividend Share 1.96 | Earnings Share 3.48 | Revenue Per Share 24.493 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.024 |
The market value of Colgate Palmolive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Colgate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Colgate Palmolive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Colgate Palmolive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Colgate Palmolive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Colgate Palmolive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Colgate Palmolive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Colgate Palmolive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Colgate Palmolive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.