Clarke Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.22

CKI Stock  CAD 23.58  0.02  0.08%   
Clarke's future price is the expected price of Clarke instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Clarke Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Clarke Backtesting, Clarke Valuation, Clarke Correlation, Clarke Hype Analysis, Clarke Volatility, Clarke History as well as Clarke Performance.
  
At this time, Clarke's Price Fair Value is very stable compared to the past year. Please specify Clarke's target price for which you would like Clarke odds to be computed.

Clarke Target Price Odds to finish below 21.22

The tendency of Clarke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 21.22  or more in 90 days
 23.58 90 days 21.22 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clarke to drop to C$ 21.22  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Clarke Inc probability density function shows the probability of Clarke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Clarke Inc price to stay between C$ 21.22  and its current price of C$23.58 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Clarke Inc has a beta of -0.0064 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Clarke are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Clarke Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Clarke Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Clarke Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clarke

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clarke Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.2923.5823.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2227.0327.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.1823.4723.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.5523.8424.13
Details

Clarke Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clarke is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clarke's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clarke Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clarke within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0064
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.51

Clarke Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clarke for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clarke Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clarke Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has C$126.18 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Immupharma plc Announces Appointment of Ashley Clarke as Company Secretary - Marketscreener.com

Clarke Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clarke Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clarke's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clarke's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14 M
Cash And Short Term Investments929 K

Clarke Technical Analysis

Clarke's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clarke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clarke Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clarke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Clarke Predictive Forecast Models

Clarke's time-series forecasting models is one of many Clarke's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Clarke's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Clarke Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clarke for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clarke Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clarke Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has C$126.18 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Immupharma plc Announces Appointment of Ashley Clarke as Company Secretary - Marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in Clarke Stock

Clarke financial ratios help investors to determine whether Clarke Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Clarke with respect to the benefits of owning Clarke security.