Cinis Fertilizer (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.74
| CINIS Stock | 12.62 0.34 2.62% |
Cinis |
Cinis Fertilizer Target Price Odds to finish below 8.74
The tendency of Cinis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.74 or more in 90 days |
| 12.62 | 90 days | 8.74 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cinis Fertilizer to drop to 8.74 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cinis Fertilizer AB probability density function shows the probability of Cinis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cinis Fertilizer price to stay between 8.74 and its current price of 12.62 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cinis Fertilizer AB has a beta of -0.0152 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cinis Fertilizer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cinis Fertilizer AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cinis Fertilizer AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cinis Fertilizer Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cinis Fertilizer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cinis Fertilizer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cinis Fertilizer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cinis Fertilizer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cinis Fertilizer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cinis Fertilizer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cinis Fertilizer AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cinis Fertilizer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Cinis Fertilizer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cinis Fertilizer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cinis Fertilizer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cinis Fertilizer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cinis Fertilizer has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Cinis Fertilizer Technical Analysis
Cinis Fertilizer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cinis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cinis Fertilizer AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cinis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cinis Fertilizer Predictive Forecast Models
Cinis Fertilizer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cinis Fertilizer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cinis Fertilizer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cinis Fertilizer
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cinis Fertilizer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cinis Fertilizer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cinis Fertilizer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cinis Fertilizer has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Cinis Stock Analysis
When running Cinis Fertilizer's price analysis, check to measure Cinis Fertilizer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cinis Fertilizer is operating at the current time. Most of Cinis Fertilizer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cinis Fertilizer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cinis Fertilizer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cinis Fertilizer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.