Carlton Investments (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.57
| CIN Stock | 30.12 0.04 0.13% |
Carlton |
Carlton Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 27.57
The tendency of Carlton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 27.57 or more in 90 days |
| 30.12 | 90 days | 27.57 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carlton Investments to drop to 27.57 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Carlton Investments probability density function shows the probability of Carlton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carlton Investments price to stay between 27.57 and its current price of 30.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Carlton Investments has a beta of 0.0067 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Carlton Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Carlton Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Carlton Investments has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Carlton Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Carlton Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlton Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Carlton Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carlton Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carlton Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carlton Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carlton Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.001 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Carlton Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carlton Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carlton Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: HS Optimus to Develop Student Housing in Carlton - TipRanks |
Carlton Investments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carlton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carlton Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carlton Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.9 M |
Carlton Investments Technical Analysis
Carlton Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carlton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carlton Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carlton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Carlton Investments Predictive Forecast Models
Carlton Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Carlton Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carlton Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Carlton Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carlton Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carlton Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: HS Optimus to Develop Student Housing in Carlton - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Carlton Stock Analysis
When running Carlton Investments' price analysis, check to measure Carlton Investments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlton Investments is operating at the current time. Most of Carlton Investments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlton Investments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlton Investments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlton Investments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.