Cullen International High Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.15

CIHIX Fund  USD 11.32  0.06  0.53%   
Cullen International's future price is the expected price of Cullen International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cullen International High performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cullen International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cullen International Correlation, Cullen International Hype Analysis, Cullen International Volatility, Cullen International History as well as Cullen International Performance.
  
Please specify Cullen International's target price for which you would like Cullen International odds to be computed.

Cullen International Target Price Odds to finish below 11.15

The tendency of Cullen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.15  or more in 90 days
 11.32 90 days 11.15 
about 11.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cullen International to drop to $ 11.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.59 (This Cullen International High probability density function shows the probability of Cullen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cullen International High price to stay between $ 11.15  and its current price of $11.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cullen International has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cullen International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cullen International High will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cullen International High has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cullen International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cullen International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cullen International High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6811.3211.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7111.3511.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.8611.5012.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9711.1911.42
Details

Cullen International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cullen International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cullen International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cullen International High, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cullen International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Cullen International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cullen International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cullen International High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cullen International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 5.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Cullen International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cullen Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cullen International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cullen International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Cullen International Technical Analysis

Cullen International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cullen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cullen International High. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cullen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cullen International Predictive Forecast Models

Cullen International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cullen International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cullen International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cullen International High

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cullen International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cullen International High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cullen International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 5.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Cullen Mutual Fund

Cullen International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cullen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cullen with respect to the benefits of owning Cullen International security.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk