Colliers International Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 187.88
| CIGI Stock | CAD 217.67 3.14 1.46% |
Colliers |
Colliers International Target Price Odds to finish below 187.88
The tendency of Colliers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 187.88 or more in 90 days |
| 217.67 | 90 days | 187.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colliers International to drop to C$ 187.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Colliers International Group probability density function shows the probability of Colliers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colliers International price to stay between C$ 187.88 and its current price of C$217.67 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Colliers International has a beta of 0.8 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Colliers International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Colliers International Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Colliers International Group has an alpha of 0.0668, implying that it can generate a 0.0668 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Colliers International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Colliers International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colliers International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colliers International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colliers International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colliers International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colliers International Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colliers International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Colliers International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colliers International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colliers International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Colliers International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Colliers International Group has accumulated 2.14 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.43, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Colliers International has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Colliers International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Colliers International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Colliers International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Colliers to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Colliers International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 76.0% of Colliers International shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Have Colliers International Group Insiders Been Selling Stock - Simply Wall St |
Colliers International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colliers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colliers International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colliers International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 218.9 M |
Colliers International Technical Analysis
Colliers International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colliers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colliers International Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colliers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colliers International Predictive Forecast Models
Colliers International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colliers International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colliers International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Colliers International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Colliers International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colliers International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Colliers International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Colliers International Group has accumulated 2.14 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.43, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Colliers International has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Colliers International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Colliers International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Colliers International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Colliers to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Colliers International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 76.0% of Colliers International shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Have Colliers International Group Insiders Been Selling Stock - Simply Wall St |
Check out Colliers International Backtesting, Colliers International Valuation, Colliers International Correlation, Colliers International Hype Analysis, Colliers International Volatility, Colliers International History as well as Colliers International Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.