Corporacin Interamericana (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.85

CIEB Stock  MXN 27.60  0.40  1.43%   
Corporacin Interamericana's future price is the expected price of Corporacin Interamericana instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Corporacin Interamericana de performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Corporacin Interamericana Backtesting, Corporacin Interamericana Valuation, Corporacin Interamericana Correlation, Corporacin Interamericana Hype Analysis, Corporacin Interamericana Volatility, Corporacin Interamericana History as well as Corporacin Interamericana Performance.
  
Please specify Corporacin Interamericana's target price for which you would like Corporacin Interamericana odds to be computed.

Corporacin Interamericana Target Price Odds to finish over 28.85

The tendency of Corporacin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  28.85  or more in 90 days
 27.60 90 days 28.85 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Corporacin Interamericana to move over  28.85  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Corporacin Interamericana de probability density function shows the probability of Corporacin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Corporacin Interamericana price to stay between its current price of  27.60  and  28.85  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Corporacin Interamericana has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Corporacin Interamericana average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Corporacin Interamericana de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Corporacin Interamericana de has an alpha of 0.2698, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Corporacin Interamericana Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Corporacin Interamericana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corporacin Interamericana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3427.6028.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8431.6232.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.4628.7229.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.0026.7227.43
Details

Corporacin Interamericana Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Corporacin Interamericana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Corporacin Interamericana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Corporacin Interamericana de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Corporacin Interamericana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Corporacin Interamericana Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Corporacin Interamericana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Corporacin Interamericana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Corporacin Interamericana has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Corporacin Interamericana de has accumulated about 3.58 B in cash with (1.43 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.41.

Corporacin Interamericana Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Corporacin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Corporacin Interamericana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Corporacin Interamericana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding559.4 M
Short Long Term Debt853.4 M

Corporacin Interamericana Technical Analysis

Corporacin Interamericana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Corporacin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Corporacin Interamericana de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Corporacin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Corporacin Interamericana Predictive Forecast Models

Corporacin Interamericana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Corporacin Interamericana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Corporacin Interamericana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Corporacin Interamericana

Checking the ongoing alerts about Corporacin Interamericana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Corporacin Interamericana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Corporacin Interamericana has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Corporacin Interamericana de has accumulated about 3.58 B in cash with (1.43 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.41.

Additional Tools for Corporacin Stock Analysis

When running Corporacin Interamericana's price analysis, check to measure Corporacin Interamericana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Corporacin Interamericana is operating at the current time. Most of Corporacin Interamericana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Corporacin Interamericana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Corporacin Interamericana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Corporacin Interamericana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.