Cell Impact (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.17

CI Stock   0.17  0.01  5.56%   
Cell Impact's future price is the expected price of Cell Impact instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cell Impact AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cell Impact Backtesting, Cell Impact Valuation, Cell Impact Correlation, Cell Impact Hype Analysis, Cell Impact Volatility, Cell Impact History as well as Cell Impact Performance.
  
Please specify Cell Impact's target price for which you would like Cell Impact odds to be computed.

Cell Impact Target Price Odds to finish below 0.17

The tendency of Cell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.17 90 days 0.17 
about 7.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cell Impact to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 7.91 (This Cell Impact AB probability density function shows the probability of Cell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cell Impact AB has a beta of -0.62 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cell Impact are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cell Impact AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cell Impact AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cell Impact Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cell Impact

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cell Impact AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cell Impact's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.174.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.164.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.164.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.170.18
Details

Cell Impact Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cell Impact is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cell Impact's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cell Impact AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cell Impact within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Cell Impact Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cell Impact for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cell Impact AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cell Impact AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cell Impact AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cell Impact AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cell Impact AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 71.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (79.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.88 M.
Cell Impact generates negative cash flow from operations
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Cell Impact Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cell Impact's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cell Impact's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.6 M

Cell Impact Technical Analysis

Cell Impact's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cell Impact AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cell Impact Predictive Forecast Models

Cell Impact's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cell Impact's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cell Impact's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cell Impact AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cell Impact for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cell Impact AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cell Impact AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cell Impact AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cell Impact AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cell Impact AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 71.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (79.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.88 M.
Cell Impact generates negative cash flow from operations
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Cell Stock Analysis

When running Cell Impact's price analysis, check to measure Cell Impact's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cell Impact is operating at the current time. Most of Cell Impact's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cell Impact's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cell Impact's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cell Impact to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.