World Chess (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.5

CHSS Stock   4.50  0.25  5.88%   
World Chess' future price is the expected price of World Chess instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of World Chess PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Chess Backtesting, World Chess Valuation, World Chess Correlation, World Chess Hype Analysis, World Chess Volatility, World Chess History as well as World Chess Performance.
  
Please specify World Chess' target price for which you would like World Chess odds to be computed.

World Chess Target Price Odds to finish below 3.5

The tendency of World Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  3.50  or more in 90 days
 4.50 90 days 3.50 
about 12.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of World Chess to drop to  3.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.16 (This World Chess PLC probability density function shows the probability of World Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of World Chess PLC price to stay between  3.50  and its current price of 4.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon World Chess PLC has a beta of -2.14 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding World Chess PLC are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, World Chess is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally World Chess PLC has an alpha of 0.2807, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   World Chess Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for World Chess

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as World Chess PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.234.5012.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.7811.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.105.1912.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.001-0.001-0.001
Details

World Chess Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. World Chess is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the World Chess' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold World Chess PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of World Chess within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

World Chess Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of World Chess for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for World Chess PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
World Chess PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 2.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
World Chess generates negative cash flow from operations
About 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Voda Idea board to consider Rs 2,000 crore preferential issue to promoter - Business Standard

World Chess Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of World Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential World Chess' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. World Chess' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding650.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments186.9 K

World Chess Technical Analysis

World Chess' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. World Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of World Chess PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing World Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

World Chess Predictive Forecast Models

World Chess' time-series forecasting models is one of many World Chess' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary World Chess' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about World Chess PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about World Chess for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for World Chess PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
World Chess PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 2.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
World Chess generates negative cash flow from operations
About 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Voda Idea board to consider Rs 2,000 crore preferential issue to promoter - Business Standard

Additional Tools for World Stock Analysis

When running World Chess' price analysis, check to measure World Chess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy World Chess is operating at the current time. Most of World Chess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of World Chess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move World Chess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of World Chess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.