Ch Robinson Worldwide Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 106.18

CHRW Stock  USD 109.13  0.08  0.07%   
CH Robinson's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on CH Robinson Worldwide. Implied volatility approximates the future value of CH Robinson based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in CH Robinson Worldwide over a specific time period. For example, CHRW Option Call 20-12-2024 110 is a CALL option contract on CH Robinson's common stock with a strick price of 110.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-11 at 15:57:19 for $2.5 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.95, and an ask price of $2.55. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All CHRW options

Closest to current price CHRW long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

CH Robinson's future price is the expected price of CH Robinson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CH Robinson Worldwide performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CH Robinson Backtesting, CH Robinson Valuation, CH Robinson Correlation, CH Robinson Hype Analysis, CH Robinson Volatility, CH Robinson History as well as CH Robinson Performance.
  
At this time, CH Robinson's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to climb to 22.43 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 6.25 in 2024. Please specify CH Robinson's target price for which you would like CH Robinson odds to be computed.

CH Robinson Target Price Odds to finish below 106.18

The tendency of CHRW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 106.18  or more in 90 days
 109.13 90 days 106.18 
about 47.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CH Robinson to drop to $ 106.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 47.84 (This CH Robinson Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of CHRW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CH Robinson Worldwide price to stay between $ 106.18  and its current price of $109.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CH Robinson has a beta of 0.6 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CH Robinson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CH Robinson Worldwide will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CH Robinson Worldwide has an alpha of 0.0565, implying that it can generate a 0.0565 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CH Robinson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CH Robinson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CH Robinson Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.87109.23110.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.3097.66120.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.75109.12110.48
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
80.1288.0497.72
Details

CH Robinson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CH Robinson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CH Robinson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CH Robinson Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CH Robinson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
3.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

CH Robinson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CH Robinson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CH Robinson Worldwide can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CH Robinson is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Should iShares Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF Be on Your Investing Radar

CH Robinson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CHRW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CH Robinson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CH Robinson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding119.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments145.5 M

CH Robinson Technical Analysis

CH Robinson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHRW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CH Robinson Worldwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHRW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CH Robinson Predictive Forecast Models

CH Robinson's time-series forecasting models is one of many CH Robinson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CH Robinson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CH Robinson Worldwide

Checking the ongoing alerts about CH Robinson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CH Robinson Worldwide help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CH Robinson is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Should iShares Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF Be on Your Investing Radar

Additional Tools for CHRW Stock Analysis

When running CH Robinson's price analysis, check to measure CH Robinson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CH Robinson is operating at the current time. Most of CH Robinson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CH Robinson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CH Robinson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CH Robinson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.