Cheniere Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 137.61

CHQ1 Stock  EUR 199.60  2.70  1.37%   
Cheniere Energy's future price is the expected price of Cheniere Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cheniere Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cheniere Energy Backtesting, Cheniere Energy Valuation, Cheniere Energy Correlation, Cheniere Energy Hype Analysis, Cheniere Energy Volatility, Cheniere Energy History as well as Cheniere Energy Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.
  
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Cheniere Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 137.61

The tendency of Cheniere Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 137.61  in 90 days
 199.60 90 days 137.61 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheniere Energy to stay above € 137.61  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Cheniere Energy probability density function shows the probability of Cheniere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cheniere Energy price to stay between € 137.61  and its current price of €199.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cheniere Energy has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cheniere Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cheniere Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cheniere Energy has an alpha of 0.3083, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cheniere Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cheniere Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheniere Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
197.79199.60201.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
179.64228.29230.10
Details

Cheniere Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheniere Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheniere Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cheniere Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheniere Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
19.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Cheniere Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheniere Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cheniere Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cheniere Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheniere Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheniere Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheniere Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding245.5 M

Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis

Cheniere Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cheniere Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cheniere Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cheniere Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cheniere Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Cheniere Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheniere Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cheniere Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cheniere Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheniere Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cheniere Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cheniere Stock

When determining whether Cheniere Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheniere Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheniere Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheniere Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cheniere Energy Backtesting, Cheniere Energy Valuation, Cheniere Energy Correlation, Cheniere Energy Hype Analysis, Cheniere Energy Volatility, Cheniere Energy History as well as Cheniere Energy Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheniere Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheniere Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheniere Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.