Cheniere Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 133.54
| CHQ1 Stock | EUR 196.90 0.95 0.48% |
Cheniere |
Cheniere Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 133.54
The tendency of Cheniere Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 133.54 or more in 90 days |
| 196.90 | 90 days | 133.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheniere Energy to drop to € 133.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cheniere Energy probability density function shows the probability of Cheniere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cheniere Energy price to stay between € 133.54 and its current price of €196.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cheniere Energy has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cheniere Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cheniere Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cheniere Energy has an alpha of 0.2949, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cheniere Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cheniere Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheniere Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cheniere Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheniere Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheniere Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cheniere Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheniere Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Cheniere Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheniere Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cheniere Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Cheniere Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheniere Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheniere Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheniere Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 245.5 M |
Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis
Cheniere Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cheniere Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cheniere Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cheniere Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cheniere Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Cheniere Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheniere Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cheniere Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cheniere Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheniere Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cheniere Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cheniere Stock
When determining whether Cheniere Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheniere Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheniere Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheniere Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Cheniere Energy Backtesting, Cheniere Energy Valuation, Cheniere Energy Correlation, Cheniere Energy Hype Analysis, Cheniere Energy Volatility, Cheniere Energy History as well as Cheniere Energy Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.