Chularat Hospital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.36

CHG Stock  THB 2.68  0.06  2.19%   
Chularat Hospital's future price is the expected price of Chularat Hospital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chularat Hospital Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chularat Hospital Backtesting, Chularat Hospital Valuation, Chularat Hospital Correlation, Chularat Hospital Hype Analysis, Chularat Hospital Volatility, Chularat Hospital History as well as Chularat Hospital Performance.
  
Please specify Chularat Hospital's target price for which you would like Chularat Hospital odds to be computed.

Chularat Hospital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.36

The tendency of Chularat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.36  or more in 90 days
 2.68 90 days 0.36 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chularat Hospital to drop to  0.36  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chularat Hospital Public probability density function shows the probability of Chularat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chularat Hospital Public price to stay between  0.36  and its current price of 2.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chularat Hospital has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chularat Hospital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chularat Hospital Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chularat Hospital Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chularat Hospital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chularat Hospital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chularat Hospital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.742.684.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.732.674.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.862.814.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.522.722.93
Details

Chularat Hospital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chularat Hospital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chularat Hospital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chularat Hospital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chularat Hospital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Chularat Hospital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chularat Hospital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chularat Hospital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Chularat Hospital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chularat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chularat Hospital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chularat Hospital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11 B

Chularat Hospital Technical Analysis

Chularat Hospital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chularat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chularat Hospital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chularat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chularat Hospital Predictive Forecast Models

Chularat Hospital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chularat Hospital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chularat Hospital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Chularat Hospital Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chularat Hospital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chularat Hospital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Chularat Stock

Chularat Hospital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chularat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chularat with respect to the benefits of owning Chularat Hospital security.