Chesapeake Utilities (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 97.35
| CH5 Stock | EUR 121.00 1.00 0.82% |
Chesapeake |
Chesapeake Utilities Target Price Odds to finish below 97.35
The tendency of Chesapeake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 97.35 or more in 90 days |
| 121.00 | 90 days | 97.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chesapeake Utilities to drop to € 97.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chesapeake Utilities probability density function shows the probability of Chesapeake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chesapeake Utilities price to stay between € 97.35 and its current price of €121.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chesapeake Utilities has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Chesapeake Utilities market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Chesapeake Utilities is expected to follow. Additionally Chesapeake Utilities has an alpha of 0.1014, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chesapeake Utilities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chesapeake Utilities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chesapeake Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chesapeake Utilities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chesapeake Utilities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chesapeake Utilities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chesapeake Utilities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chesapeake Utilities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Chesapeake Utilities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chesapeake Utilities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chesapeake Utilities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chesapeake Utilities has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chesapeake Utilities has accumulated 578.39 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 118.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chesapeake Utilities has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chesapeake Utilities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chesapeake Utilities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chesapeake Utilities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chesapeake to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chesapeake Utilities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 75.0% of Chesapeake Utilities shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Chesapeake Utilities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chesapeake Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chesapeake Utilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chesapeake Utilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 35.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 223.6 M |
Chesapeake Utilities Technical Analysis
Chesapeake Utilities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chesapeake Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chesapeake Utilities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chesapeake Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chesapeake Utilities Predictive Forecast Models
Chesapeake Utilities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Chesapeake Utilities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chesapeake Utilities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chesapeake Utilities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chesapeake Utilities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chesapeake Utilities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chesapeake Utilities has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chesapeake Utilities has accumulated 578.39 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 118.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chesapeake Utilities has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chesapeake Utilities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chesapeake Utilities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chesapeake Utilities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chesapeake to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chesapeake Utilities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 75.0% of Chesapeake Utilities shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Chesapeake Stock
When determining whether Chesapeake Utilities is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Chesapeake Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Chesapeake Utilities Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Chesapeake Utilities Stock:Check out Chesapeake Utilities Backtesting, Chesapeake Utilities Valuation, Chesapeake Utilities Correlation, Chesapeake Utilities Hype Analysis, Chesapeake Utilities Volatility, Chesapeake Utilities History as well as Chesapeake Utilities Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Chesapeake Stock please use our How to Invest in Chesapeake Utilities guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.