Creative Global Technology Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 242.77

CGTL Stock   7.69  0.27  3.39%   
Creative Global's future price is the expected price of Creative Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Creative Global Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Creative Global Backtesting, Creative Global Valuation, Creative Global Correlation, Creative Global Hype Analysis, Creative Global Volatility, Creative Global History as well as Creative Global Performance.
  
Please specify Creative Global's target price for which you would like Creative Global odds to be computed.

Creative Global Target Price Odds to finish over 242.77

The tendency of Creative Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  242.77  or more in 90 days
 7.69 90 days 242.77 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Creative Global to move over  242.77  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Creative Global Technology probability density function shows the probability of Creative Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Creative Global Tech price to stay between its current price of  7.69  and  242.77  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.89 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Creative Global Technology has a beta of -1.01 suggesting In addition to that Creative Global Technology has an alpha of 3.6005, implying that it can generate a 3.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Creative Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Creative Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Creative Global Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Creative Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.387.52776.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.265.14774.15
Details

Creative Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Creative Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Creative Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Creative Global Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Creative Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.30

Creative Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Creative Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Creative Global Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Creative Global Tech is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Creative Global Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Creative Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Creative Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Creative Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Creative Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Creative Global Technical Analysis

Creative Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Creative Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Creative Global Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Creative Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Creative Global Predictive Forecast Models

Creative Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Creative Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Creative Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Creative Global Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Creative Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Creative Global Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Creative Global Tech is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Creative Global Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
When determining whether Creative Global Tech is a strong investment it is important to analyze Creative Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Creative Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Creative Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Wholesale space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Creative Global. If investors know Creative will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Creative Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Creative Global Tech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Creative that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Creative Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Creative Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Creative Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Creative Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Creative Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Creative Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Creative Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.