Touchstone Sands Capital Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.36

CFSIX Fund  USD 18.36  0.27  1.49%   
Touchstone Sands' future price is the expected price of Touchstone Sands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Touchstone Sands Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Touchstone Sands Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Touchstone Sands Correlation, Touchstone Sands Hype Analysis, Touchstone Sands Volatility, Touchstone Sands History as well as Touchstone Sands Performance.
  
Please specify Touchstone Sands' target price for which you would like Touchstone Sands odds to be computed.

Touchstone Sands Target Price Odds to finish below 18.36

The tendency of Touchstone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 18.36 90 days 18.36 
about 81.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Touchstone Sands to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 81.2 (This Touchstone Sands Capital probability density function shows the probability of Touchstone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Touchstone Sands has a beta of 0.98 suggesting Touchstone Sands Capital market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Touchstone Sands is expected to follow. Additionally Touchstone Sands Capital has an alpha of 0.1372, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Touchstone Sands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Touchstone Sands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchstone Sands Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.0918.3619.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2019.4720.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.5317.8019.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.9818.7019.42
Details

Touchstone Sands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Touchstone Sands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Touchstone Sands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Touchstone Sands Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Touchstone Sands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Touchstone Sands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Touchstone Sands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Touchstone Sands Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Touchstone Sands Capital holds 95.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Touchstone Sands Technical Analysis

Touchstone Sands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Touchstone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Touchstone Sands Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Touchstone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Touchstone Sands Predictive Forecast Models

Touchstone Sands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Touchstone Sands' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Touchstone Sands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Touchstone Sands Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Touchstone Sands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Touchstone Sands Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Touchstone Sands Capital holds 95.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Touchstone Mutual Fund

Touchstone Sands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchstone Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchstone with respect to the benefits of owning Touchstone Sands security.
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