Catalystcifc Floating Rate Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.15

CFRFX Fund   9.27  0.00  0.00%   
Catalystcifc Floating's future price is the expected price of Catalystcifc Floating instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Catalystcifc Floating Rate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Catalystcifc Floating Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Catalystcifc Floating Correlation, Catalystcifc Floating Hype Analysis, Catalystcifc Floating Volatility, Catalystcifc Floating History as well as Catalystcifc Floating Performance.
  
Please specify Catalystcifc Floating's target price for which you would like Catalystcifc Floating odds to be computed.

Catalystcifc Floating Target Price Odds to finish below 9.15

The tendency of Catalystcifc Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.15  or more in 90 days
 9.27 90 days 9.15 
about 30.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catalystcifc Floating to drop to  9.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.51 (This Catalystcifc Floating Rate probability density function shows the probability of Catalystcifc Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Catalystcifc Floating price to stay between  9.15  and its current price of 9.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Catalystcifc Floating Rate has a beta of -0.0019 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Catalystcifc Floating are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Catalystcifc Floating Rate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Catalystcifc Floating Rate has an alpha of 0.0183, implying that it can generate a 0.0183 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Catalystcifc Floating Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Catalystcifc Floating

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catalystcifc Floating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.179.279.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.109.209.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.169.269.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.269.279.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Catalystcifc Floating. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Catalystcifc Floating's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Catalystcifc Floating's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Catalystcifc Floating.

Catalystcifc Floating Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catalystcifc Floating is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catalystcifc Floating's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catalystcifc Floating Rate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catalystcifc Floating within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0019
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -1.12

Catalystcifc Floating Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catalystcifc Floating for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catalystcifc Floating can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Catalystcifc Floating Technical Analysis

Catalystcifc Floating's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catalystcifc Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catalystcifc Floating Rate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catalystcifc Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Catalystcifc Floating Predictive Forecast Models

Catalystcifc Floating's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catalystcifc Floating's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catalystcifc Floating's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Catalystcifc Floating

Checking the ongoing alerts about Catalystcifc Floating for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catalystcifc Floating help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Catalystcifc Mutual Fund

Catalystcifc Floating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalystcifc Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalystcifc with respect to the benefits of owning Catalystcifc Floating security.
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