Crunchfish (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.08

CFISH Stock  SEK 1.86  0.04  2.20%   
Crunchfish's future price is the expected price of Crunchfish instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crunchfish AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crunchfish Backtesting, Crunchfish Valuation, Crunchfish Correlation, Crunchfish Hype Analysis, Crunchfish Volatility, Crunchfish History as well as Crunchfish Performance.
  
Please specify Crunchfish's target price for which you would like Crunchfish odds to be computed.

Crunchfish Target Price Odds to finish below 1.08

The tendency of Crunchfish Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 1.08  or more in 90 days
 1.86 90 days 1.08 
about 15.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crunchfish to drop to kr 1.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.83 (This Crunchfish AB probability density function shows the probability of Crunchfish Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crunchfish AB price to stay between kr 1.08  and its current price of kr1.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crunchfish has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crunchfish average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crunchfish AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crunchfish AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crunchfish Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crunchfish

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crunchfish AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.8610.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.7910.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.8610.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.101.491.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crunchfish. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crunchfish's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crunchfish's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crunchfish AB.

Crunchfish Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crunchfish is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crunchfish's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crunchfish AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crunchfish within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.82
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Crunchfish Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crunchfish for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crunchfish AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crunchfish AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crunchfish AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Crunchfish AB may become a speculative penny stock
Crunchfish AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.09 M.
Crunchfish AB has accumulated about 12.91 M in cash with (19.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5.
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Crunchfish Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crunchfish Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crunchfish's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crunchfish's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.8 M

Crunchfish Technical Analysis

Crunchfish's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crunchfish Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crunchfish AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crunchfish Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crunchfish Predictive Forecast Models

Crunchfish's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crunchfish's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crunchfish's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crunchfish AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crunchfish for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crunchfish AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crunchfish AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crunchfish AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Crunchfish AB may become a speculative penny stock
Crunchfish AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.09 M.
Crunchfish AB has accumulated about 12.91 M in cash with (19.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5.
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Crunchfish Stock Analysis

When running Crunchfish's price analysis, check to measure Crunchfish's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crunchfish is operating at the current time. Most of Crunchfish's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crunchfish's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crunchfish's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crunchfish to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.