CHINA FOODS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.83

CFH0 Stock  EUR 6.05  0.20  3.42%   
CHINA FOODS's future price is the expected price of CHINA FOODS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CHINA FOODS Backtesting, CHINA FOODS Valuation, CHINA FOODS Correlation, CHINA FOODS Hype Analysis, CHINA FOODS Volatility, CHINA FOODS History as well as CHINA FOODS Performance.
  
Please specify CHINA FOODS's target price for which you would like CHINA FOODS odds to be computed.

CHINA FOODS Target Price Odds to finish over 5.83

The tendency of CHINA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 5.83  in 90 days
 6.05 90 days 5.83 
about 61.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHINA FOODS to stay above € 5.83  in 90 days from now is about 61.57 (This CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 probability density function shows the probability of CHINA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 price to stay between € 5.83  and its current price of €6.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 has a beta of -0.24 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CHINA FOODS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 has an alpha of 0.0871, implying that it can generate a 0.0871 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CHINA FOODS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CHINA FOODS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.656.058.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.625.027.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.425.838.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.715.976.23
Details

CHINA FOODS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHINA FOODS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHINA FOODS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHINA FOODS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

CHINA FOODS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHINA FOODS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 has accumulated 110.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CHINA FOODS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CHINA FOODS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CHINA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CHINA FOODS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

CHINA FOODS Technical Analysis

CHINA FOODS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHINA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHINA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CHINA FOODS Predictive Forecast Models

CHINA FOODS's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHINA FOODS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHINA FOODS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20

Checking the ongoing alerts about CHINA FOODS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 has accumulated 110.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CHINA FOODS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CHINA FOODS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CHINA FOODS UNSPADR20 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CHINA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CHINA FOODS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in CHINA Stock

CHINA FOODS financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHINA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHINA with respect to the benefits of owning CHINA FOODS security.