CrossFirst Bankshares Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.65
| CFBDelisted Stock | USD 15.99 0.07 0.44% |
CrossFirst |
CrossFirst Bankshares Target Price Odds to finish over 20.65
The tendency of CrossFirst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.65 or more in 90 days |
| 15.99 | 90 days | 20.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CrossFirst Bankshares to move over $ 20.65 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CrossFirst Bankshares probability density function shows the probability of CrossFirst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CrossFirst Bankshares price to stay between its current price of $ 15.99 and $ 20.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.38 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CrossFirst Bankshares has a beta of 0.0281 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CrossFirst Bankshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CrossFirst Bankshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CrossFirst Bankshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CrossFirst Bankshares Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CrossFirst Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CrossFirst Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CrossFirst Bankshares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CrossFirst Bankshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CrossFirst Bankshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CrossFirst Bankshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CrossFirst Bankshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
CrossFirst Bankshares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CrossFirst Bankshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CrossFirst Bankshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CrossFirst Bankshares is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| CrossFirst Bankshares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CrossFirst Bankshares has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
CrossFirst Bankshares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CrossFirst Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CrossFirst Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CrossFirst Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 234 M |
CrossFirst Bankshares Technical Analysis
CrossFirst Bankshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CrossFirst Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CrossFirst Bankshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing CrossFirst Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CrossFirst Bankshares Predictive Forecast Models
CrossFirst Bankshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many CrossFirst Bankshares' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CrossFirst Bankshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CrossFirst Bankshares
Checking the ongoing alerts about CrossFirst Bankshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CrossFirst Bankshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CrossFirst Bankshares is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| CrossFirst Bankshares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CrossFirst Bankshares has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Other Consideration for investing in CrossFirst Stock
If you are still planning to invest in CrossFirst Bankshares check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CrossFirst Bankshares' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal |