Companhia (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.95

CEDO3 Stock  BRL 26.70  0.20  0.75%   
Companhia's future price is the expected price of Companhia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Companhia de Fiacao performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Companhia Backtesting, Companhia Valuation, Companhia Correlation, Companhia Hype Analysis, Companhia Volatility, Companhia History as well as Companhia Performance.
  
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Companhia Target Price Odds to finish over 35.95

The tendency of Companhia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over R$ 35.95  or more in 90 days
 26.70 90 days 35.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Companhia to move over R$ 35.95  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Companhia de Fiacao probability density function shows the probability of Companhia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Companhia de Fiacao price to stay between its current price of R$ 26.70  and R$ 35.95  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Companhia has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Companhia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Companhia de Fiacao will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Companhia de Fiacao has an alpha of 0.12, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Companhia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Companhia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia de Fiacao. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8826.7030.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6221.4429.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Companhia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Companhia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Companhia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Companhia de Fiacao.

Companhia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Companhia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Companhia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Companhia de Fiacao, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Companhia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Companhia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Companhia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Companhia de Fiacao can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Companhia de Fiacao had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Companhia de Fiacao has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Companhia de Fiacao has accumulated 254.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 135.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Companhia de Fiacao has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Companhia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Companhia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Companhia de Fiacao sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Companhia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Companhia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Companhia de Fiacao has accumulated about 9.02 M in cash with (14.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9.

Companhia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Companhia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Companhia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares2.8M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day633
Average Daily Volume In Three Month209

Companhia Technical Analysis

Companhia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Companhia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Companhia de Fiacao. In general, you should focus on analyzing Companhia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Companhia Predictive Forecast Models

Companhia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Companhia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Companhia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Companhia de Fiacao

Checking the ongoing alerts about Companhia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Companhia de Fiacao help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Companhia de Fiacao had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Companhia de Fiacao has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Companhia de Fiacao has accumulated 254.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 135.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Companhia de Fiacao has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Companhia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Companhia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Companhia de Fiacao sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Companhia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Companhia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Companhia de Fiacao has accumulated about 9.02 M in cash with (14.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9.

Additional Tools for Companhia Stock Analysis

When running Companhia's price analysis, check to measure Companhia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Companhia is operating at the current time. Most of Companhia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Companhia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Companhia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Companhia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.