Cadiz Depositary Shares Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 11.97

CDZIP Preferred Stock  USD 17.12  0.08  0.47%   
Cadiz Depositary's future price is the expected price of Cadiz Depositary instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cadiz Depositary Shares performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cadiz Depositary Backtesting, Cadiz Depositary Valuation, Cadiz Depositary Correlation, Cadiz Depositary Hype Analysis, Cadiz Depositary Volatility, Cadiz Depositary History as well as Cadiz Depositary Performance.
  
Please specify Cadiz Depositary's target price for which you would like Cadiz Depositary odds to be computed.

Cadiz Depositary Target Price Odds to finish below 11.97

The tendency of Cadiz Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.97  or more in 90 days
 17.12 90 days 11.97 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cadiz Depositary to drop to $ 11.97  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cadiz Depositary Shares probability density function shows the probability of Cadiz Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cadiz Depositary Shares price to stay between $ 11.97  and its current price of $17.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cadiz Depositary has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cadiz Depositary average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cadiz Depositary Shares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cadiz Depositary Shares has an alpha of 0.2103, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cadiz Depositary Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cadiz Depositary

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cadiz Depositary Shares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2317.1218.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6016.4917.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.4117.3018.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7416.1017.47
Details

Cadiz Depositary Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cadiz Depositary is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cadiz Depositary's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cadiz Depositary Shares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cadiz Depositary within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Cadiz Depositary Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cadiz Depositary for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cadiz Depositary Shares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 564 K. Net Loss for the year was (31.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 564 K.
Cadiz Depositary Shares has accumulated about 13.24 M in cash with (15.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.

Cadiz Depositary Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cadiz Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cadiz Depositary's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cadiz Depositary's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11 M

Cadiz Depositary Technical Analysis

Cadiz Depositary's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cadiz Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cadiz Depositary Shares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cadiz Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cadiz Depositary Predictive Forecast Models

Cadiz Depositary's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cadiz Depositary's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cadiz Depositary's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cadiz Depositary Shares

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cadiz Depositary for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cadiz Depositary Shares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 564 K. Net Loss for the year was (31.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 564 K.
Cadiz Depositary Shares has accumulated about 13.24 M in cash with (15.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.

Additional Tools for Cadiz Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Cadiz Depositary's price analysis, check to measure Cadiz Depositary's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cadiz Depositary is operating at the current time. Most of Cadiz Depositary's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cadiz Depositary's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cadiz Depositary's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cadiz Depositary to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.