Churchill Capital V Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.13

CCVDelisted Stock  USD 10.21  0.04  0.39%   
Churchill Capital's future price is the expected price of Churchill Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Churchill Capital V performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  
Please specify Churchill Capital's target price for which you would like Churchill Capital odds to be computed.

Churchill Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 10.13

The tendency of Churchill Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.13  or more in 90 days
 10.21 90 days 10.13 
about 41.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Churchill Capital to drop to $ 10.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.23 (This Churchill Capital V probability density function shows the probability of Churchill Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Churchill Capital price to stay between $ 10.13  and its current price of $10.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.2 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Churchill Capital V has a beta of -0.0093 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Churchill Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Churchill Capital V is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Churchill Capital V has an alpha of 0.0107, implying that it can generate a 0.0107 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Churchill Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Churchill Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Churchill Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Churchill Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2110.2110.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.668.6611.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1810.1810.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2010.2310.26
Details

Churchill Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Churchill Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Churchill Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Churchill Capital V, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Churchill Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0093
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.78

Churchill Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Churchill Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Churchill Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Churchill Capital is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Churchill Capital has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Churchill Capital has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
Churchill Capital V has 1000 K in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 110.9, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Churchill Capital has a current ratio of 0.34, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Churchill to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Churchill Capital V has about 162.54 K in cash with (1.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Churchill Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Churchill Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Churchill Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Churchill Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments108.8 K

Churchill Capital Technical Analysis

Churchill Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Churchill Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Churchill Capital V. In general, you should focus on analyzing Churchill Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Churchill Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Churchill Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Churchill Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Churchill Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Churchill Capital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Churchill Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Churchill Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Churchill Capital is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Churchill Capital has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Churchill Capital has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
Churchill Capital V has 1000 K in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 110.9, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Churchill Capital has a current ratio of 0.34, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Churchill to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Churchill Capital V has about 162.54 K in cash with (1.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Other Consideration for investing in Churchill Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Churchill Capital check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Churchill Capital's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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